Four valuation case studies. Updated monthly.

A fast, fundamentals-first snapshot — plus technical + sentiment context. Educational, not recommendations.

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Our Methodology

We blend multiple intrinsic models into a valuation range

We add sentiment context for market behavior

We present ranges and context, not trade calls

How DCF, Comps, and Graham Work Together: Each valuation model captures a different perspective on intrinsic value. DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) projects future cash flows and discounts them to present value—ideal for companies with predictable earnings. Comparable company analysis looks at how similar businesses are valued in the market. Graham's formula provides a conservative, margin-of-safety approach rooted in earnings and growth. By blending these methods, we reduce the risk of any single model's blind spots.

Why Ranges Matter More Than Point Estimates: A single "fair value" number implies false precision. In reality, valuation depends on assumptions about growth rates, discount rates, and competitive dynamics—all of which are uncertain. Presenting a range (e.g., $180–$215) acknowledges this uncertainty and gives you a framework for thinking about risk/reward rather than a false sense of exactness.

How Sentiment Provides Market Context: Fundamentals tell you what a company might be worth; sentiment tells you how the market is currently behaving. A stock can trade below intrinsic value for months if sentiment is weak. Conversely, positive sentiment can push prices above fair value. We include this context not as trading signals, but to help you understand the gap between fundamental value and market pricing.

Our Approach: These case studies are educational snapshots, not recommendations. We're showing you how to think about valuation—combining multiple models, understanding ranges, and reading market context. The goal is to build your analytical intuition, not to tell you what to do.

This Month's Picks

GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.

~8% below intrinsic midpoint

Trading below peer multiples at 30x vs. 39x sector average, with $73B free cash flow and 33% margins

1M: +4.8%6M: +22.1%1Y: +60.5%
Improving

LMT

Lockheed Martin Corp.

~18% above intrinsic midpoint

Record $194B backlog and strong earnings beat, but trading above blended intrinsic range near all-time highs

1M: +26.4%6M: +18.7%1Y: +32.9%
Mixed

HIMS

Hims & Hers Health Inc.

~33% below intrinsic midpoint

High-growth telehealth platform at 2M+ subscribers, trading well below analyst consensus target amid sentiment weakness

1M: -8.5%6M: -22.3%1Y: -12.1%
Weak

DFIN

Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc.

~14% below intrinsic midpoint

Software-led transformation with AI suite launch — analyst consensus sees 18% upside, Q4 earnings imminent

1M: +1.8%6M: -5.2%1Y: +8.4%
Improving

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